Trade the odds, not the opinion.
A practical field guide to mechanical premium-selling: the strategies, the numbers, and the risk rules used by systematic options sellers. No hot takes, no chart astrology — just probability, position sizing, and discipline.
Four ideas do almost all the work. Everything on this site is a consequence of them.
Options are systematically priced for larger moves than actually happen — implied volatility runs richer than realized volatility over time. A consistent seller of options collects that difference. Volatility isn't the enemy; it's the product.
Pick trades by their probability of profit, not by a forecast about direction. Buying stock is roughly a coin flip. Selling premium when implied volatility is elevated can start at 60–90% probability of profit — before any view on the market.
The edge is small per trade, so occurrences are the engine. A high number of small, consistent trades lets the law of large numbers do the compounding. One hero trade is gambling; a hundred disciplined ones is a business.
Every trade gets its management plan before entry — where you'll take profit, when you'll exit, how you'll defend. No discretion, no hope, no "let me watch it for one more day."
The standard mechanical setup for short-premium trades. Five numbers, memorized once, applied forever:
Nine structures, one doctrine. Click through for setup, timing, and management on each.
Sell an out-of-the-money call and put at the same expiration. The core neutral premium trade — undefined risk, managed mechanically.
Full breakdown →The defined-risk version of the strangle: short call spread plus short put spread. Wings cap the loss; you trade some premium for sleep.
Full breakdown →Sell puts on stocks you'd own at the strike; if assigned, sell covered calls against the shares. Premium first, stock second.
Full breakdown →A short put plus a short call spread, sized so the credit exceeds the call-spread width — removing all upside risk. Neutral to slightly bullish.
Full breakdown →Sell calls against shares you own. Dampens upside in exchange for steady premium and a lower cost basis.
Full breakdown →Defined-risk directional premium trades. Same 50%-profit / 21-DTE management as the big structures, in a smaller package.
Full breakdown →See all nine strategies, including ratio spreads, broken-wing butterflies, and diagonals →
Never traded an option? Follow this path — each step builds on the last.
Three pages that turn the philosophy into a tradable routine.
Sixteen numbered rules: when to sell, how big, how much heat to carry, and what to never do. Print-worthy.
Read the rules →IV Rank, IV percentile, expected move, delta-as-probability, buying power — the dashboard behind every entry decision.
Learn the metrics →Oversizing kills more accounts than strategy choice. How to roll losers, why time exits beat P/L stops, and the classic blow-ups.
Study the mistakes →The books and desk gear behind this site. No courses for sale here — just the tools.
The options bible. Natenberg explains volatility, pricing models, and how market makers actually think — from basic spreads to advanced volatility trading. If you only read one book on options, this is it. Dense but readable, and every serious trader I know has a worn copy.
See it on Amazon →
The encyclopedia of options strategies. McMillan documents every spread, hedge, and combination in exhaustive detail with real-world examples and risk graphs. It's the reference you reach for when building or dissecting any position. Not a cover-to-cover read — a lifetime desk companion for strategy builders.
See it on Amazon →
The Greeks, finally made practical. Passarelli translates delta, gamma, theta, and vega from textbook math into trading decisions — when to be long gamma, how theta really decays, what vega means for your P/L. The perfect companion to this site's Greeks page, written by a former market maker.
See it on Amazon →Ultrawide monitor, mechanical keyboard, a chair you can sit in for six hours — the unglamorous edge.
See desk gear on Amazon →Affiliate disclosure: links above are Amazon affiliate links. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases — it costs you nothing and keeps this site free.
OptionsWizard tees and gear from the print-on-demand shop.
Wizard-themed trading designs are coming to the merch shop — check back soon.
Visit the merch shop →Weekly: one options trade idea with the math, one casino truth, one comp-cruise deal. Free forever. Unsubscribe anytime.